Boosting enrollment in neurology trials with Local Identification and Outreach Networks (LIONs).

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to develop a geographically localized, multi-institution strategy for improving enrolment in a trial of secondary stroke prevention. METHODS: We invited 11 Connecticut hospitals to participate in a project named the Local Identification and Outreach Network (LION). Each hospital provided the names of patients with stroke or TIA, identified from electronic admission or discharge logs, to researchers at a central coordinating center. After obtaining permission from personal physicians, researchers contacted each patient to describe the study, screen for eligibility, and set up a home visit for consent. Researchers traveled throughout the state to enroll and follow participants. Outside the LION, investigators identified trial participants using conventional recruitment strategies. We compared recruitment success for the LION and other sites using data from January 1, 2005, through June 30, 2007. RESULTS: The average monthly randomization rate from the LION was 4.0 participants, compared with 0.46 at 104 other Insulin Resistance Intervention after Stroke (IRIS) sites. The LION randomized on average 1.52/1,000 beds/month, compared with 0.76/1,000 beds/month at other IRIS sites (p = 0.03). The average cost to randomize and follow one participant was $8,697 for the LION, compared with $7,198 for other sites. CONCLUSION: A geographically based network of institutions, served by a central coordinating center, randomized substantially more patients per month compared with sites outside of the network. The high enrollment rate was a result of surveillance at multiple institutions and greater productivity at each institution. Although the cost per patient was higher for the network, compared with nonnetwork sites, cost savings could result from more rapid completion of research.

Impaired insulin sensitivity among nondiabetic patients with a recent TIA or ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of impaired insulin sensitivity among nondiabetic patients with a recent TIA or nondisabling ischemic stroke. METHODS: Eligible subjects were nondiabetic men and women over age 45 years who were hospitalized with a TIA or ischemic stroke. To measure insulin sensitivity, subjects underwent an oral glucose tolerance test between 2 and 6 months after their event. Impaired insulin sensitivity was defined by a value of < or =2.5 on the Composite Insulin Sensitivity Index derived from insulin and glucose values during the test. RESULTS: Between July 2000 and June 2001, we identified 177 eligible patients, among whom 105 declined to participate and 72 enrolled. The median age of participants was 71 years and 46 (64%) were men. The baseline event was stroke for 57 subjects (79%). A history of myocardial infarction (MI) was reported by 14 subjects (19%), and 16 (22%) were obese (body mass index > 30). Fasting glucose was normal (<110 mg/dL) for 58 (80%) participants and impaired (110 to 125 mg/dL) for 14 (20%). Among 72 participants, the median insulin sensitivity index value was 2.6 (range 0.9 to 10.2). The prevalence of impaired insulin sensitivity was 36 of 72 (50%, 95% CI 38% to 62%). Impaired insulin sensitivity was more prevalent among younger patients and patients with obesity, lacunar stroke etiology, and disability (Rankin grade >1). CONCLUSION: Impaired insulin sensitivity is highly prevalent among nondiabetic patients with a recent TIA or nondisabling ischemic stroke. This finding has important therapeutic implications if treatment to improve insulin sensitivity is shown to reduce risk for subsequent stroke and heart disease.

Use of Ephedra-containing products and risk for hemorrhagic stroke.

This case-control study examined the association between Ephedra use and risk for hemorrhagic stroke. For use of Ephedra at any dose during the 3 days before the stroke, the adjusted OR was 1.00 (95% CI 0.32 to 3.11). For daily doses of < or =32 mg/day, the OR was 0.13 (95% CI 0.01 to 1.54), and for >32 mg/day, the OR was 3.59 (95% CI 0.70 to 18.35). Ephedra is not associated with increased risk for hemorrhagic stroke, except possibly at higher doses.

Insulin resistance and risk for stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Resistance to insulin-mediated glucose uptake by peripheral tissues is a cardinal defect in type 2 diabetes mellitus. Insulin resistance is also common among nondiabetic individuals, and may be an important risk factor for stroke in both populations. The authors review the definition, epidemiology, and treatment of insulin resistance. METHODS: The authors searched Medline (1977-2001) and reviewed bibliographies to identify pertinent English-language publications. RESULTS: Insulin resistance is present in most patients with type 2 diabetes. It is also common among elderly persons, certain ethnic groups, and persons with hypertension, obesity, physical deconditioning, and vascular disease. The principal pathophysiologic defect is impaired intracellular signaling in muscle tissue leading to defective glycogen synthesis. Insulin resistance is associated with numerous metabolic, hematologic, and cellular events that promote atherosclerosis and coagulation. The association between insulin resistance and risk for stroke has been examined in four case-control studies and five prospective observational cohort studies. Six of the nine studies are methodologically sound and provide evidence that insulin resistance is associated with risk for stroke. CONCLUSION: Insulin resistance may be a prevalent risk factor for stroke. New drugs can safely reduce insulin resistance and may have a role in stroke prevention.

A clinical trial of estrogen-replacement therapy after ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies have suggested that estrogen-replacement therapy may reduce a woman's risk of stroke and death. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of estrogen therapy (1 mg of estradiol-17beta per day) in 664 postmenopausal women (mean age, 71 years) who had recently had an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. Women were recruited from 21 hospitals in the United States and were followed for the occurrence of stroke or death. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 2.8 years, there were 99 strokes or deaths among the women in the estradiol group, and 93 among those in the placebo group (relative risk in the estradiol group, 1.1; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.4). Estrogen therapy did not reduce the risk of death alone (relative risk, 1.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.8) or the risk of nonfatal stroke (relative risk, 1.0; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 1.4). The women who were randomly assigned to receive estrogen therapy had a higher risk of fatal stroke (relative risk, 2.9; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 9.0), and their nonfatal strokes were associated with slightly worse neurologic and functional deficits. CONCLUSIONS: Estradiol does not reduce mortality orthe recurrence of stroke in postmenopausal women with cerebrovascular disease. This therapy should not be prescribed for the secondary prevention of cerebrovascular disease.

A quality-of-life instrument for young hemorrhagic stroke patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hemorrhagic stroke has a high initial mortality rate. While survivors often recover motor function, many experience significant changes in their quality of life (QOL). Available outcome measures assess neurological impairment, disability, or handicap, yet often inadequately characterize the full impact of a stroke on patients' lives. In this study, we develop and validate a QOL instrument specific for young patients with hemorrhagic strokes. METHODS: Methodological guidelines for instrument development were initially established. Based on the content of 40 open-ended patient interviews, a 54-item instrument (HSQuale) was developed. The reliability (test-retest and internal consistency) and validity (content and construct) of HSQuale were assessed in another 71 patients (18 to 49 years of age, 63% women, 77% white), at 1 year after their hemorrhagic stroke. Comparisons were made between HSQuale and other commonly used outcome measures. RESULTS: HSQuale demonstrated reproducibility (test-retest kappa, 0.40 to 0.96) and internal consistency (Cronbach alpha >/=0.80 for 5 of 7 domains). HSQuale scores had broad frequency distributions (

Phenylpropanolamine and the risk of hemorrhagic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Phenylpropanolamine is commonly found in appetite suppressants and cough or cold remedies. Case reports have linked the use of products containing phenylpropanolamine to hemorrhagic stroke, often after the first use of these products. To study the association, we designed a case-control study. METHODS: Men and women 18 to 49 years of age were recruited from 43 U.S. hospitals. Eligibility criteria included the occurrence of a subarachnoid or intracerebral hemorrhage within 30 days before enrollment and the absence of a previously diagnosed brain lesion. Random-digit dialing identified two matched control subjects per patient. RESULTS: There were 702 patients and 1376 control subjects. For women, the adjusted odds ratio was 16.58 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.51 to 182.21; P=0.02) for the association between the use of appetite suppressants containing phenylpropanolamine and the risk of a hemorrhagic stroke and 3.13 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.86 to 11.46; P=0.08) for the association with the first use of a product containing phenylpropanolamine. All first uses of phenylpropanolamine involved cough or cold remedies. For men and women combined, the adjusted odds ratio was 1.49 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.84 to 2.64; P=0.17) for the association between the use of a product containing phenylpropanolamine and the risk of a hemorrhagic stroke, 1.23 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.68 to 2.24; P=0.49) for the association with the use of cough or cold remedies that contained phenylpropanolamine, and 15.92 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.38 to 184.13; P=0.03) for the association with the use of appetite suppressants that contained phenylpropanolamine. An analysis in men showed no increased risk of a hemorrhagic stroke in association with the use of cough or cold remedies containing phenylpropanolamine. No men reported the use of appetite suppressants. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that phenylpropanolamine in appetite suppressants, and possibly in cough and cold remedies, is an independent risk factor for hemorrhagic stroke in women.

Blood pressure exceeding national guidelines among women after stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: After a transient ischemic attack or stroke, the risk for recurrence may be reduced by treatment of hypertension. The purpose of this study was to determine how commonly blood pressure exceeds national guidelines among patients who have had one of these events. METHODS: Subjects were 644 women participating in a randomized trial of estrogen for secondary stroke prevention. We measured blood pressure 1 month after the stroke or TIA while patients were under the care of their personal physicians. Among 536 patients, a second measure was made at an average of 2.9 years after the first. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 71 years, and 73% reported a history of hypertension. At baseline, only 44% (280/644) of the women had blood pressure values within national guidelines (<140/90 mm Hg). With separate guidelines used for diabetics (<130/85 mm Hg) and nondiabetics (<140/90 mm Hg), the proportions of women within the guidelines were 27% and 44%, respectively. Overall, 39% of patients were within the diabetes-adjusted guidelines. Among patients whose blood pressure exceeded 140/90 mm Hg at first examination, 55% were still in excess at follow-up. Features associated with severe hypertension at first examination (>160/100 mm Hg) were history of hypertension, education less than college, and higher cognitive functioning. CONCLUSIONS: Blood pressure values in excess of national guidelines are common after stroke and TIA, especially among diabetic patients. Efforts to lower blood pressure control may enhance secondary prevention.

The stroke prognosis instrument II (SPI-II) : A clinical prediction instrument for patients with transient ischemia and nondisabling ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In 1991 we developed the Stroke Prognosis Instrument (SPI-I) to stratify patients with transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke by prognosis for stroke or death in 2 years. In this article we validate and improve SPI-I (creating SPI-II). METHODS: To validate SPI-I, we applied it to 4 test cohorts and calculated pooled outcome rates. To create SPI-II, we incorporated new predictive variables identified in 1 of the test cohorts and validated it in the other 3 cohorts. RESULTS: For SPI-I, pooled rates (all 4 test cohorts) of stroke or death within 2 years in risk groups I, II, and III were 9%, 17%, and 24%, respectively (P<0.01, log-rank test). SPI-II was created by adding congestive heart failure and prior stroke to SPI-I. Each patient's risk group was determined by the total score for 7 factors: congestive heart failure (3 points); diabetes (3 points); prior stroke (3 points); age >70 years (2 points); stroke for the index event (not transient ischemic attack) (2 points); hypertension (1 point); and coronary artery disease (1 point). Risk groups I, II, and III comprised patients with 0 to 3, 4 to 7, and 8 to 15 points, respectively. For SPI-I, pooled rates (3 cohorts excluding the SPI-II development cohort) of stroke or death within 2 years in risk groups I, II, and III were 9%, 17%, and 23%, respectively. For SPI-II, pooled rates were 10%, 19%, and 31%, respectively. In receiver operator characteristic analysis, the area under the curve was 0.59 (95% CI, 0.57 to 0.60) for SPI-I and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.65) for SPI-II, confirming the better performance of the latter. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with SPI-I, SPI-II achieves greater discrimination in outcome rates among risk groups. SPI-II is ready for use in research design and may have a role in patient counseling.

Stratified randomization for clinical trials.

Trialists argue about the usefulness of stratified randomization. For investigators designing trials and readers who use them, the argument has created uncertainty regarding the importance of stratification. In this paper, we review stratified randomization to summarize its purpose, indications, accomplishments, and alternatives. In order to identify research papers, we performed a Medline search for 1966-1997. The search yielded 33 articles that included original research on stratification or included stratification as the major focus. Additional resources included textbooks. Stratified randomization prevents imbalance between treatment groups for known factors that influence prognosis or treatment responsiveness. As a result, stratification may prevent type I error and improve power for small trials (<400 patients), but only when the stratification factors have a large effect on prognosis. Stratification has an important effect on sample size for active control equivalence trials, but not for superiority trials. Theoretical benefits include facilitation of subgroup analysis and interim analysis. The maximum desirable number of strata is unknown, but experts argue for keeping it small. Stratified randomization is important only for small trials in which treatment outcome may be affected by known clinical factors that have a large effect on prognosis, large trials when interim analyses are planned with small numbers of patients, and trials designed to show the equivalence of two therapies. Once the decision to stratify is made, investigators need to chose factors carefully and account for them in the analysis.

Estrogen after ischemic stroke: clinical basis and design of the Women's Estrogen for Stroke Trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Observational studies have found that women who take estrogen after menopause are less likely to have a stroke than women who do not take estrogen. Although these findings indicate that estrogen may prevent stroke, an alternative explanation for the improved outcome of estrogen users is that they are healthier before starting therapy than nonusers. To test the therapeutic effect of estrogen with research methods that avoid this selection bias, we designed a randomized controlled trial. TRIAL DESIGN: The Women's Estrogen For Stroke Trial (WEST) is a double-blind, randomized trial with a primary goal of determining whether 1 mg 17beta-estradiol daily, when compared with placebo, reduces the risk of recurrent stroke or death among postmenopausal women who have experienced a transient ischemic attack or nondisabling ischemic stroke. Exclusion criteria include use of estrogen at the time of stroke, breast or uterine cancer, inability to speak English, and estimated survival less than 5 years. Once randomized, women remain under the care of their personal physicians for management of stroke risk factors. For early detection of endometrial hyperplasia and cancer, asymptomatic women receive medroxyprogesterone yearly (5 mg for 12 days) and vaginal ultrasonography or biopsy at the end of the trial. Unscheduled uterine bleeding is evaluated with biopsy. A total of 652 women are sought at 20 hospitals in Connecticut and one in Massachusetts. CONCLUSIONS: The WEST promises to provide critical guidance to women and their physicians regarding the effectiveness of estrogen in secondary stroke prevention.

Incidence of hospitalization for digitalis toxicity among elderly Americans.

OBJECTIVE: To document the prevalence of digitalis use and the incidence of hospitalization caused by digitalis toxicity. DESIGN: Observational cohort followed for 6 years. SETTING: Urban community. PARTICIPANTS: Persons were eligible if they were (1) enrolled in the Yale Health and Aging Project and (2) using digitalis when interviewed in 1982 or 1985. The Project comprises a sample of noninstitutionalized persons aged 65 years and over living in New Haven, Connecticut. METHODS: Between 1982 and 1988 when a Project participant was hospitalized in New Haven, a researcher reviewed the medical record and coded up to 16 International Classification of Diseases-Class 9 (ICD-9) diagnoses. To identify hospitalizations caused by digitalis, we reexamined records with ICD-9 codes suggesting toxicity. We confirmed the admission illness was an adverse drug reaction with a decision algorithm. RESULTS: The prevalence of digitalis use was 13% in 1982 and 12% in 1985. The incidence of hospitalization caused by definite or probable toxicity was 4.2% (95% confidence interval = 0.3% to 8.1%) over 6 years. Manifestations of toxicity were malaise or gastrointestinal symptoms (two patients) and heart block plus malaise or gastrointestinal symptoms (six patients). Use of quinidine was associated (P < .05) with toxicity. CONCLUSION: Knowledge about the incidence of severe, morbid toxicity may help clinicians estimate and compare the risks and benefits of digitalis and alternate therapies.

Gender difference in prognosis after transient cerebral ischemia or minor stroke.

The objective of this study was to determine if prognosis after transient cerebral ischemia or minor stroke is different for women and men. Eligible patients (n = 142), identified on a carotid ultrasound roster, had been hospitalized between 1984 and 1987 within 30 days of a first carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. Participants were considered to have a study outcome if they had a stroke or died within 2 years. Gender differences were measured with crude and directly standardized relative risks for women compared with men. The crude 2-year risk of stroke or death was 35% for women and 20% for men. The crude relative risk for women compared with men was 1.74 (95% confidence interval = 1.01-3.00). The relative risk standardized for age was 1.39 (95% confidence interval = 0.84-2.29). The relative risk standardized for prognostic strata and comorbid illness was 1.38 (95% confidence interval = 0.75-2.53). This study does not confirm the hypothesis of a gender difference for risk of stroke or death after an initial transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. Although the crude relative risk for women was large and significant, the adjusted relative risk was smaller and nonsignificant. The effect of gender needs to be examined in a larger study that has adequate power to detect an important difference between men and women at an acceptable level of statistical significance.

A methodological appraisal of research on prognosis after transient ischemic attacks.

We analyzed existing research on the prognosis of patients who have had a transient ischemic attack to identify studies that adhere to basic methodological principles and to identify underinvestigated questions. Studies were eligible for analysis if they were published in peer-reviewed journals after 1950, written in English, and included at least 50 patients with transient ischemia. Studies that included patients with stroke were included only if they reported outcome rates separately for the subgroup of patients with transient ischemia. All eligible studies were extracted by one investigator who recorded adherence to six key methodological principles. Among 60 eligible studies, 54 were observational cohort studies and six were randomized trials. Adherence to the six methodological principles was as follows: eight studies included an adequate description of diagnostic criteria and of procedures used to assure adherence to the criteria, 54 used appropriate end points, two assembled inception cohorts, 10 included an adequate description of end point surveillance, 22 adequately reported and analyzed censored patients, and 10 included a multivariate analysis for predictive variables. No study adhered to all six principles, but two adhered to the three most important ones (appropriate end points, inception cohort, and adequate reporting and analysis of censored patients). Aspects of prognosis after transient ischemia that have not been completely investigated include the severity of subsequent strokes and methods for estimating the outcome risk for individual patients. We conclude that only a few published investigations on prognosis after transient ischemia are methodologically complete. This finding helps explain why it is difficult to interpret many studies. Further research is needed and should target underinvestigated topics.

A prognostic system for transient ischemia or minor stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To build a prognostic system for patients with carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. DESIGN: Inception cohort study with 2-year follow-up. SETTING: Urban community teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Eligible patients (n = 142), identified on a carotid ultrasound roster, had been hospitalized between 1984 and 1987 within 30 days of a first carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. MEASUREMENTS: Stroke or death within 2 years. MAIN RESULTS: Three factors were associated with stroke or death: age of more than 65 years, diabetes, and hypertension. Based on regression coefficients, age of more than 65 years was assigned 3 points; diabetes, 3 points; and hypertension, 2 points. An initial prognostic system comprised risk groups 1 (0 points), 2 (1 to 5 points), and 3 (6 to 8 points). Outcome rates in the three groups were 2%, 31%, and 54% (P less than 0.0001), respectively. In an independent test sample, the corresponding outcome rates for the initial system were 12%, 21%, and 31% (P = 0.04). A final prognostic system, including two additional predictors (coronary heart disease [1 point] and the distinction between stroke and transient ischemic attack for the baseline event [2 points]), comprised risk groups 1 (0 to 2 points), 2 (3 to 6 points), and 3 (7 to 11 points). Corresponding outcome rates were 3%, 27%, and 48% (P less than 0.001) in the original cohort and 10%, 21%, and 59% (P less than 0.001) in the test cohort. CONCLUSION: For selected patients with carotid transient ischemia or minor stroke, five clinical features can be combined to stratify effectively the risk for a subsequent stroke or death.

Indexes and boundaries for "quantitative significance" in statistical decisions.

Boundaries for delta, representing a "quantitatively significant" or "substantively impressive" distinction, have not been established, analogous to the boundary of alpha, usually set at 0.05, for the stochastic or probabilistic component of "statistical significance". To determine what boundaries are being used for the "quantitative" decisions, we reviewed pertinent articles in three general medical journals. For each contrast of two means, contrast of two rates, or correlation coefficient, we noted the investigators' decisions about stochastic significance, stated in P values or confidence intervals, and about quantitative significance, indicated by interpretive comments. The boundaries between impressive and unimpressive distinctions were best formed by a ratio of greater than or equal to 1.2 for the smaller to the larger mean in 546 comparisons, by a standardized increment of greater than or equal to 0.28 and odds ratio of greater than or equal to 2.2 in 392 comparisons of two rates; and by an r value of greater than or equal to 0.32 in 154 correlation coefficients. Additional boundaries were also identified for "substantially" and "highly" significant quantitative distinctions. Although the proposed boundaries should be kept flexible, indexes and boundaries for decisions about "quantitative significance" are particularly useful when a value of delta must be chosen for calculating sample size before the research is done, and when the "statistical significance" of completed research is appraised for its quantitative as well as stochastic components.

Ceftriaxone compared with cefotaxime for serious bacterial infections.

Ceftriaxone was compared with cefotaxime for the treatment of serious bacterial infections in a prospective, randomized, double-blind clinical trial. The dose of ceftriaxone was 2 g once a day, and the dose of cefotaxime was 2 g every 4 h. Metronidazole was added if anaerobic infection was suspected. Explicit criteria were used to define infections, clinical response, and adverse effects. Ceftriaxone was given to 88 patients and cefotaxime to 83. The two treatment groups did not differ in types of infection, infecting organisms, and severity of underlying disease. The response rate was 81% (71/88) for ceftriaxone and 80% (66/83) for cefotaxime. The power of the study to detect a 15% difference in response rate at P less than .1 was 90%. The frequency of diarrhea, thrombophlebitis, prothrombin time, prolongation, colonization, and superinfection did not differ between treatment groups. Ceftriaxone 2 g once a day was as safe and effective as cefotaxime 2 g every 4 h for suspected serious bacterial infections.